- Bitcoin has had a negative correlation with the dollar since the COVID-19 crash.
- The market’s trend since September reveals that investors have favored Bitcoin over gold.
- Bitcoin allocations by companies like Tesla threatens the reserve currency status of the greenback, according to some analysts.
Share this article
According to CNBC’s Dan Nathan, the U.S. government will try to curb the hype if it starts to see Bitcoin as a threat to the dollar.
However, the faster companies and wealth managers adopt, the more difficult it will become for the government to intervene.
Bitcoin Eats Into Gold ETF Market Share
In hindsight, Elon Musk’s consistent tweets about Dogecoin may have been a hint about Tesla’s BTC purchase. Now, while Bitcoin enthusiasts await the next significant corporate investment, the conversion of cash balances to BTC may have more significant implications than its proposition as an inflationary hedge.
The people have spoken … https://t.co/x41oVMzTGo
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) February 8, 2021
Gold topped out at $2,075 per ounce on Aug. 7 last year. Since then, BTC has gained 320% to the peak of $48,200 yesterday, while gold has been in a downtrend.
We have a 180 degree reversal in correlation to Gold.
Green dot is MicroStrategy’s first purchase of Bitcoin. pic.twitter.com/gTglGcavOg
— Willy Woo (@woonomic) February 9, 2021
Bitcoin and gold have followed a negative correlation with the dollar index since the COVID-19 crash.
The 90-day Spearman correlation for BTC with the dollar dropped to negative 0.36 alongside gold. The downside in the greenback has favored Bitcoin’s rise for a long time.
In October last year, JP Morgan’s analyst found Grayscale GBTC investment has beaten gold ETF allocation since 2019. They also predicted that Bitcoin’s value could appreciate ten times when compared with gold.
Cash reserve allocation to BTC, like Tesla and MicroStrategy, act as insurance for these companies.
Still, this trend is starting to hurt the dollar’s value. While Bitcoin has set its sights on $50,000, the dollar index (DXY) is leaning towards a negative breakdown below $90.5. The currency index against competing reserve currencies has found support at $89.2 next.
If companies start to shed their cash balances for BTC, the declining popularity could hurt USD’s value more than inflation.
Disclosure: The author held Bitcoin at the time of press.
U.S. Treasury Department Proposal an “Existential Threat to Bitcoin�…
The CEO of Coinbase, Brian Armstrong, shared details of an alleged proposal from the U.S. Department of Treasury, which experts think “could be an existential threat to Bitcoin.” More Surveillance…
Looking Back on 2020 and 2021 Predictions
Happy New Year from all of us at Crypto.com Research! 2020 was an unprecedented year for the world and for crypto. Before we fully plunge into 2021 predictions, we will…
Bitcoin Now Among the Top 15 Stocks and Currencies
Bitcoin now ranks among the world’s largest corporate stocks and currencies in light of its latest all-time high. Race to the Top On Dec. 16, Bitcoin reached a new all-time…